A LONG MARKET CONVALESCENCE

The Easy Part of the Recovery Is Behind Us


As contrarian investors, who were becoming more favorably biased toward the markets, we were faced with a puzzle.

On the one hand, the markets' declines from their highs had already matched those of earlier bear markets associated with economic recessions - both in length and in amplitude - and the investment crowd had become overwhelmingly negative -- the kind of capitulation that usually accompanies market bottoms.

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François Sicart  

11 January 2010